I am getting really irritated by Labour in opposition. Their outrageous self riotous indignation is disgusting. From Roy Hattersley arrogant assumption that the Lib Dems should ally with Labour to Harriet Harman winging that Lib Dem voters did not vote for the current policies.
Hey Harriet! I am a Liberal Democrat voter, don’t tell me what I think!
This week Tom Watson, Labour MP for West Bromwich East became almost hysterical in the House of Commons and shouted that the Secretary of State for Education, Michael Gove, was a “miserable pipsqueak”. This abuse from a member of a party which led the UK into war under the leadership of such miserable frauds as Mandelson, Campbell and Blair!
Labour backbenchers have still not faced up to fact that their acquiescence to being led by charlatans and incompetence for the past 13 years has cost them power and cost the country dear. Labour should wake up and smell the coffee. They knowingly allowed a bunch of frauds to lead them in order to win the election. This is an open secret. Even Tony Benn has admitted it publicly. They sacrificed their principles for power, they screwed the economy, they lost the election.
When Mr. Watson uses the term pipsqueak, I suggest that he is projecting. Today he swaggers around insulting people like a drunken bouncer but why did he not have enough courage to speak out when Tony Blair and Gordon Brown were shafting Labour and the country? Could it be that Mr. Watson is a miserable pipsqueak?
I saw a cartoon in The Independent yesterday which implied that The Tory/Lib Dem coalition are using scare tactics to introduce spending cuts. I’ve also heard the Labour cabinet condemning all the cuts but giving no guide as to how the deficit (and the debt) which New Labour ran up should be brought under control. For those not steeped in financial jargon the debt is how much we owe and the deficit is the shortfall in our annual spending. So by running a deficit we increase the national debt. The talk by the new coalition government so far has concentrated on getting the deficit under control but bare in mind that Gordon Brown ran a deficit even during the boom years as the UK was spending more than the government gained in taxes!
Depressingly but, perhaps predictably, all we hear from everyone who has been asked to make cuts is justification for why their particular budget should not be cut. There was an education official on the radio recently “explaining” that the national debt is not like a credit card and that we can simply roll over the debt. Easy! We’re in debt, no problem, borrow more. It is this daft logic that has lead to the UK national debt of nearly 70% of GDP in 2009.
During the 18th and 19th centuries the United Kingdom became wealthy through empire and the industrial revolution and used that wealth to provide comfy lives for the British elite. Note that the majority of the British people had lives worse than many of those in India or elsewhere in the Empire mainly because of the cold British climate and the appalling working conditions during the industrial revolution. The British elite, however, did very well.
During the two world wars the European powers smashed each other to bits and America and the USSR stepped in as world leaders. The U.S. had ensured that the UK paid for aid during the war but the Marshall Plan got the UK and Western Europe back on their feat. The UK then hung on to it’s place in the world for a while. Our industry and trained workforce gave us “comparative advantage” compared to “developing countries” and so the UK and other European countries remained fairly wealthy and fairly secure. Sure Japan, Taiwan and others developed their own industry but most of the world remained pre-industrial.
Post World War 2 a Labour government came to power and, dazzled by the apparent success of Socialism in the USSR, started looking after the working class. For the first time ordinary people gained access to clean water, health care and pensions.
We developed a world view roughly as follows: The West leads the world, developing technology and operating industry, the far east copies the West and and performs some production and the “third world” supplies the raw materials but remains poor and dependent on aid.
But the UK was complacent., we became convinced that all our wealth was a natural state of affairs and that it could all be paid for by creative accounting. While we were naval gazing the Soviet Union collapsed, open markets became the vogue, China joined the World Trade Organisation and the rest of the world adopted capitalism and found that they were pretty good at it. Not only were they good at it they were unencumbered by a mature democracy or legislation to protect workers.
Global leadership, industry and power is now shifting from the democratic Western nations to nations who are either dictatorships or corrupt token democracies. As a quick preamble to my next bit of ranting I should explain, for the uninitiated, that the a common measure of a countries wealth is Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This is a measure of the total value of goods and services produced by a country. Because countries vary in populations another common measure is to divide GDP by the population and derive a figure known as GDP per capita. This gives a measure of how much each person, on average, produces.
Time for some figures.
UK GDP is sixth in the world, just above Brazil at 8 and India at 11 and below China at 3.
National debt is at 68% of GDP, higher than Ghana at 67.5% or Uganda at 19.3%
The UK’s budget deficit (how much more we spend than we earn) is at 14.2% of GDP, above Sierra Leone at 12.35% and Vietnam at 9.3%
The UK’s defence budget is 2.5% of GDP, that’s more than above China at 2% and Germany at 1.3%.
The UK’s Education spending is the same as South Africa and Mexico at 5.3% of GDP. That’s above Bhutan at 5.2% but below Fiji at 5.6% and Bolivia at 6.3% and Yemen at 9.5%!
It’s also worth considering that other countries do not have debt, they have surplus! They have saved money and built up substantial wealth in Sovereign Wealth Funds. For example:
United Arab Emirates 627 $Billion
Norway 443 $Billion
China 288.8 $Billion
The UK still has some cards up it sleeve. In 2008 we were the sixth biggest manufacturer after Italy but Russia was at 7 and Brazil at 8.
In recent history the UK has relied on North Sea oil to top up our income. I cannot find any figures on what percentage of our GDP is made up from Oil and Gas but I recall reading that the tax take on Oil and Gas was the largest contributor to the British exchequer followed by Finance. I believe that was before the financial crisis.
All this is not to say that the United Kingdom is doomed, just that the world is changing and we can’t rely on the UK remaining wealthy by default. British policies today dictate the future of this country and if we continue to run up a debt our nation will decline. It not rocket science. There are younger and fitter countries in the world.
Just today I heard a British politician talking about maintaining British leadership. Our political elite have not yet caught up with the 21st century. Why should Brazil, Taiwan or China be interested in being lead by a mid size debtor nation on the other side of the world?
No nation or empire lasts for ever. Nations and Empires rise and fall. The British Empire has fallen and one day the UK will fall and I suggest that, if we are not careful, people will look back and see that the obvious start was the 21st century due to complacency, vested interests and the inability of a people to make tough decisions..
We are no longer one of the few great industrialised powers in a world populated by uneducated and illiterate farmers. The UK is now just one of many educated and industrialised countries. It is true that we have a more mature system of law and democracy but undemocratic and corrupt governments around the world see this as an encumbrance and not as something to emulate.
We are in massive debt, the oil money is running out. New Labour’s policies of spend and hope have failed. I support the current government’s prescription of large scale cuts but this should be supplemented by informed strategic planning.
We should also reconsider our commitment to allowing foreign entities to buy British assets and industry. Sovereign Wealth Funds referred to above often buy industry and assets from the developed world and this is acceptable if everyone plays by the same rules. However some of the largest of these funds are owned by nations who play by very few rules. Specifically we should be wary of allowing SWFs of single party dictatorships or corrupt regimes owning large stakes in the UK.
Globalisation is all very well while the foreign money is pouring in and funding industry and jobs but once these foreign owners have their feet under the table they often find that it is more efficient to centralise production and transfer the industry abroad. This would be fair enough were it possible for British companies to buy up industry in China, Germany or Japan in the same way but other countries are not as open as the UK.
Last Sunday night there was a TV program enthusing about one industry in the UK which remains cutting edge and world leading. This was British Aerospace and it’s production of Rolls Royce Trent aircraft engines in Derby.
UK house prices seem far to high to me. Nestoria lists the average price of a one bedroom flat in Hackney in June 2010 was £226,000.
That’s ludicrous! Consider a working couple starting out. Maybe the guy is a bus driver and the girl works in a super market. How much would that bring in? I would have thought £30,000 tops. If a mortage lender would lends three times your salary that would make £90,000. How are they to get on the property ladder? The rental prices are high too so they’re stuffed.
The word is that, even though property prices have now started recover, we are in for another downturn. I hope that’s true. I keep an eye on a web site named http://www.housepricecrach.com but I found another good one recently. The web site housepricegraph.com has a chart showing London boroughs colour coded to show house price movements. It also has data on sales volumes.
It's not an honorarium Ken - unless you work for free
I hear that Ken Thornber, Conservative Member for Brockenhurst and leader of Hampshire County Council, has been TALKING BOLLOCKS!
It seems that the council had a policy of not awarding bonuses and in addition had embarked on spending reductions through efficiency savings. Excellent work you might think except that in their own case the councillors decided that they should receive special one-off payments to recognise the councilors achievements.
One off payments to recognise achievements? Hmm.. What does that remind me of? Oh, yes. A bonus! But hang on, I thought that Hampshire council had a policy of not awarding bonuses, presumably in an effort to reduce costs. Part of the efficiency savings, so to speak.
Ah, but these were not bonuses claims Ken Thornber, these were “honorariums”.
Well, I don’t know about you dear reader but I hav never heard of honorariums before. In the past corrupt council officials such as Mr. Thornber may have got away with his fancy talk as nobody would have been bothered to look the word up. Thankfully, today we have the web and a quick reference to Wikiepdia reveals:
“An honorarium is an ex gratia payment made to a person for their services in a volunteer capacity or for services for which fees are not traditionally required. This is used by groups such as schools or sporting clubs to pay coaches for their costs. Another example includes the payment to a guest speaker at a conference to cover their travel, accommodation, or preparation time.”
That doesn’t sound right does it. The councillors are not volunteers, they’re paid employees.
“(Business / Commerce) a fee paid for a nominally free service”
Well that isn’t right either. A councillor doesn’t provide a nominally free service.
One can only conclude that Ken Thornber is lying in order to disguise the fact that he has forced all his staff to give up bonuses in order to make savings so he and his friends can cream off some of the savings for himself. What a bastard!
Let’s see if we can find a picture of Mr. Thornber shall we. Here we go. Hmm. He has a nice tan doesn’t he? I bet he can afford a lot of nice holidays…..with someone else’s money.
Yesterday afternoon I watched the tennis. Britain’s Andy Murray played Jo Tsonga of France. Tsonga started well but Murray eventually came out on top. I found Murray’s aggressive and triumphalist shouting and fist shaking very unattractive. He certainly has an appallingly big and ugly gob which aught to remain shut lest people compare him with the Alien. I think Tim Henman had a penchant for this sort of behaviour too and I’ve noticed it with various British and American sportsman. Pondering this likeness for a while it occurred to me that The Alien is like Henman in that he always looks like he is about to make a come back and win but he always loses in the end.
The Alien - - - - - - - - - - Andy Murray
Presumably this overt display of aggression stems from the self image of many American men. To quote General Stanley McChrystal: “Figure out how your enemy operates, be faster and more ruthless than everybody else, then take the fuckers out.”.
Yeh, thanks for that Stan, is there someone else we can talk to?
Years ago I worked for the investment bank Credit Suisse First Boston and there was an American manager there who proclaimed “Business is War”. Of course the manager was TALKING BOLLOCKS. Business is not war “Business is business”. I’d even take issue with the old saying, “business before pleasure” preferring the Thai attitude to life where anything worth doing, including work, should have some element of “Sanuk” ( fun ).
So should war also have a sense of fun? Perhaps that is taking it too far but certainly there is no need for the ugly rantings of Murray in sport.
A week or so ago I watched Japan play in the World Cup. I was impressed, when they scored they actually appeared happy! They smiled!! They had scored another goal. Surely this was a more normal and healthy reaction to success than the yobish behaviour displayed by Andy Murray.
I think that I prefer amateur sports. Recently I played table tennis with a friend and her two kids. We had four balls going at once and every time one ball was missed we threw another one onto the table. I don’t know who won but it was good fun.